Rocket League loot box odds revealed

After a year overflowing with loot box and pay-to-win controversies, loot boxes are now steadily being phased out, with many studios adopting battle pass-style business models, outright removing loot boxes from their games, or disclosing the odds of their loot boxes to maintain transparency. Rocket League developer Psyonix joined the latter group earlier today: the math behind Rocket League's loot crates is now out in the wild thanks to a recent blog post. Here's how they break down:  

  •  Rare item: 55 percent 
  •  Very Rare item: 28 percent 
  •  Import item: 12 percent 
  •  Exotic item: 4 percent 
  •  Black Market item: 1 percent 
  •  Painted version of item: 25 percent chance  
  •  Certified version if item: 25 percent chance  

Psyonix also explained how Rocket League's crate system determines rewards. Simply put, when you open a crate, the game rolls for item rarity, then for an item within that rarity (items of the same rarity are equally weighted), and finally for Painted or Certified attributes. 

The studio says these odds haven't changed since loot crates were added in September 2016, and that "if we do make any changes to drop rates, we'll be sure to post the new numbers here on the blog."

Austin Wood
Staff writer, GamesRadar

Austin freelanced for PC Gamer, Eurogamer, IGN, Sports Illustrated, and more while finishing his journalism degree, and has been a full-time writer at PC Gamer's sister publication GamesRadar+ since 2019. They've yet to realize that his position as a staff writer is just a cover-up for his career-spanning Destiny column, and he's kept the ruse going with a focus on news, the occasional feature, and as much Genshin Impact as he can get away with.

Latest in Sports
Tony Hawk doing a kickflip or whatever the hell it is in the cover art for Tony Hawk's Pro Skater 3 + 4
Tony Hawk apparently intervened to get Bam Margera into Pro Skater 3+4: 'No, you're gonna do it'
A goalkeeper in a plague mask wields an axe
Silent Hill gets a soccer league in FEAR FA 98, and you can play the demo now
Roman Reigns in the ring in WWE 2k25
WWE 2K25: Every superstar on the roster
Tony Hawk doing a kickflip or whatever the hell it is in the cover art for Tony Hawk's Pro Skater 3 + 4
Tony Hawk's Pro Skater 3 + 4 remake is real, and it's coming in July with new skaters, parks, music, and more
Image for
Sure seems like the new Call of Duty map is teasing a Tony Hawk's Pro Skater game
Football players flying through the air
PC Gamer's simulated Super Bowl 2025 predicts Eagles victory, player getting hit so hard he flies out of the stadium and into the parking lot
Latest in News
An Enshrouded player in a recreation of Erebor from The Lord of the Rings
Kings under the Mountain! 33 Enshrouded players spent 10,000 hours to recreate this iconic location from The Lord of the Rings
A mech awakens.
Mecha Break developer is considering unlocking all mechs following open beta feedback
Lara Croft Unified Art
Tomb Raider developer Crystal Dynamics lays off 17 employees 'to better align our current business needs and the studio's future success'
A long bendy arm stealing money from people in a subway car
'You're a very long arm. You steal things. It's a comedy game,' explains developer of comedy game where you steal things with a very long arm
The heroes are attacked by monsters
Pillars of Eternity is getting turn-based combat to mark its 10th anniversary, and that means PC Gamer editors will soon be arguing about combat mechanics again
Image of Ronaldo from Fatal Fury: City of the Wolves trailer
It doesn't really make sense that soccer star Ronaldo is now a Fatal Fury character, but if you follow the money you can see how it happened